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The NBER's approach involves a holistic assessment. They consider the depth, diffusion, and duration of the decline in economic activity. Depth refers to how severe the decline is, diffusion refers to how widespread the decline is across different sectors, and duration refers to how long the decline lasts. This comprehensive approach aims to provide a more accurate picture of the overall economic health, rather than relying on a single metric like GDP. The NBER also considers factors like government policies, global economic conditions, and financial market stability when making their assessment. Their goal is to determine whether the economy has experienced a broad-based and sustained contraction that warrants the label of a recession. Because of this thorough and detailed process, the NBER's declaration of a recession is widely respected and considered the official word on the matter.
